EFFECT OF ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES ON LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE IN NIGERIA
Tukur Dandare Sifawa, Eggon Ahmed Henry, Ph.D and Osekweyi Joel Odonye, Ph.D
Volume 11 Issue 1
Abstract
This study examined the effect of road traffic crashes on labour force participation rate in Nigeria during 1988 to 2023 was set out with the main objectives of establishing and determining how the Rate of Road Traffic Crashes and Road Traffic Crash fatality affected labour force in Nigeria as well as analyzing and examining the extent to which Road Traffic Crash rate of injuries and Road Traffic Crash damage to vehicles has affected economic growth in Nigeria. To achieve the objective of the study a quantitative research design predicated on Ex-Post Factor research design was be adopted by this study. This is with the aim of establishing the statistical association between labour force participation rate (LFPR) and the independent variables of Road Traffic Crash Rate, Road Traffic Crash Fatality Rate, Road Traffic Crash Rate of Injuries and Road Traffic Crash Vehicle Damage Rate. Time series crash data covering thirty five years period from 1988 to 2023 sourced from the Federal Road Safety Corps Nigeria which is the lead agency in Road Safety Administration and Management. Also, the data on labour force participation rate for the period 1988 to 2022 was sourced from the international labpur organisation (ILO) database. The dynamic ordinary least square (DOLS) model was utilized in this study. Trend analysis and Descriptive analysis techniques were utilized. The pre-estimation tests of Augmented DickeyFuller (ADF) and co-integration tests were carried out in addition to the post-estimation tests like Causality, and Cummulative Sum of Recursive Residual (CUSUM) tests. The result of the study revealed that there is a negative relationship between LFPR and RTCC, RTCFR and RTCVD. The result of unit root test confirmed co-integration of the variables This implied that an increase in the variables, that is, RTCC, RTCFR and RTCVD will result to a corresponding decrease in the LFPR. This requires urgent preventive measures in preventing any increase in the independent variables so as to stop a decrease in the dependent variable (LFPR). Keywords: Road Traffick, Labour Force, Participation Rate, Nigeria
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